How to read this track record
What is a double trigger (DT)?
Double trigger (DT): the backed team goes two goals ahead (2UP pays) and the match ends as a draw or an opposition win. Both legs win.
What is tracked
Every Featured and Listed pick is logged automatically before kickoff. Telegram alerts are sent for Featured picks only — these are the picks we recommend acting on. Listed picks are shown here for transparency and calibration purposes only. Outcomes are recorded after each match via API-Football. No picks are added or removed retrospectively.
How P&L is calculated
P&L follows the recommendation in the 2UP alert for the selected risk profile. Use the Risk Profile filter above to switch between Conservative, Balanced, and Aggressive views. If the alert recommended Green Up and exchange liquidity was sufficient, the green-up profit is shown. If the recommendation was Ride or the market was illiquid, the ride outcome is shown: trigger profit if the double trigger fired, qualifying loss if it did not. All figures are shown per £100 back stake.
When a 2UP alert fires before minute 70 and the recommendation is to green up, P&L is recorded at 75% of the theoretical green-up value shown at trigger time. This conservative estimate accounts for exchange liquidity and execution timing. The 75% figure is a temporary assumption — it will be replaced with an empirically derived figure once sufficient trigger data has been collected. After minute 70, or where green-up data is unavailable, the qualifying loss is recorded as a conservative floor.
What green-up value means
Green-up values are based on Betfair Exchange back prices at trigger time, after a short delay to allow the market to settle. Actual results may differ slightly due to partial fills, price movement during execution, or use of a different exchange. The value shown is what was available at the moment the alert fired.
Why P&L may be negative
Most picks result in a qualifying loss because the 2UP does not fire. This is expected. The edge comes from the 2UP fire rate being higher than a random selection would produce, combined with green-up profit when it does fire. Judge performance over a meaningful sample, not individual results.
Algorithm version
The track record defaults to V3 picks only. V3 launched on 18 April 2026. Earlier picks used V2 and are available via the version filter for transparency.
| Date | Match | Competition | Tier | Backed | Odds | 2UP? | Minute | Green-up Value |
Ride Potential |
2UP Decision |
DT? | Score | P&L |
|---|
2UP? = backed team went 2 goals ahead at any point · DT? = double trigger (2UP paid and lay won). Rec: recommendation based on selected risk profile at moment 2UP fired. Green Up = take guaranteed green-up profit. Ride = hold for DT jackpot. Ride (market illiquid) = green-up not available due to low exchange volume.
Green-up Value and Ride Potential are shown per £100 back stake. V2 picks were logged under a previous algorithm; P&L is shown as recorded with no profile distinction.
Picks are logged automatically before kickoff. They appear here once the match has kicked off, and outcomes are recorded automatically after the final whistle. P&L is normalised to a £100 back stake for comparison with the dashboard. Vary your stake size in practice to reduce the risk of account restrictions.