Frequently Asked Questions
About the tool
How often is the dashboard updated?
The dashboard is updated every hour, 24 hours a day, covering fixtures kicking off within the next 24 hours. The latest scan time is shown at the top of the dashboard.
How do I use the dashboard to place a bet?
Find a pick you want to act on. Note the backed team, back odds, and lay odds. Place your back bet at your preferred bookmaker for the displayed stake. Then place your lay bet at your chosen exchange using the lay odds shown. Once placed, leave the bet to run. If a 2UP fires on your pick you will receive a Telegram alert with a green-up recommendation. The qualifying loss shown assumes the 2UP does not trigger. If it does trigger and the match reverses, you make the trigger profit shown.
What are Featured and Listed picks?
Featured picks are the algorithm's highest confidence selections. Listed picks are the next tier down. Both are logged to the public track record before kickoff. Tracked picks are lower confidence and not shown publicly. All picks shown on the dashboard have passed the pre-filter.
Which picks should I bet on?
We recommend acting on Featured picks only. These are the strongest signals and the ones you will receive Telegram alerts for. Listed picks are logged publicly for transparency and calibration but are not recommended for betting.
Why are there no picks today?
The algorithm applies a pre-filter before scoring. On some days, no fixtures pass the filter. This is by design. Showing weak opportunities would reduce long-run profitability.
Why does my qualifying loss differ from what the dashboard shows?
The dashboard calculates qualifying loss based on the odds at scan time. Odds move between the scan and when you place your bet. If you are using a different stake, commission rate, or getting slightly different odds, use the toggle controls on the dashboard to adjust.
Can I use this with bookmakers other than Bet365?
Yes, the tool can be used with any bookmaker that offers the 2UP promotion. The dashboard shows Bet365 back odds as the primary source, with Paddy Power as a fallback as they are the largest bookies that offer early payouts. If your odds differ slightly from what is shown, the qualifying loss and 2UP profit will differ proportionally, and the opportunity is still valid.
Can I use this with exchanges other than Betfair?
Yes. The lay odds shown are sourced from Betfair Exchange as it is currently the best option for liquidity. Other betting exchanges are available and any can be used for matched betting. Check available exchanges for the best lay price before placing.
What stake should I use?
The dashboard defaults to £100 stake views to make the maths simpler. Most matched bettors start with £10-£25 per bet while learning the process, then scale up once comfortable. The Dashboard can be adjusted to £10 or £25 stake views. Never stake more than you are happy to have tied up until the match finishes.
How do I know the picks were logged before kickoff?
Every pick on the Track Record shows a logged timestamp confirming when it was recorded. Picks are only visible on the Track Record after the match has kicked off, but the timestamp proves they were logged in advance. The scan runs hourly 24 hours a day so picks are confirmed as close to kickoff as possible while still giving you time to place the bet.
Is there a mobile app?
Not yet. The dashboard is mobile-optimised and works well in a browser on iOS and Android. A dedicated app may follow after the beta.
How do I set up Telegram alerts?
Create a free account at mathedbetting.co.uk/signup. After verifying your email you will be redirected to the alerts activation page. Tap the Telegram button to open the bot and press Start. Your alerts will activate automatically. You need Telegram installed on your phone.
About 2UP matched betting
What is the 2UP promotion?
The 2UP promotion pays out your back bet early if the team you backed goes two goals ahead at any point during the match, regardless of the final score. If your team goes 2-0 up and then goes on to draw or lose, you still get paid out. This creates a matched betting opportunity because your lay bet can also win if the lead is overturned.
Which bookmakers offer 2UP?
Bet365 are currently the bookmaker with the best coverage of 2UP promotions in the UK. Paddy Power and selected other bookies offer 2UP promotions on qualifying matches as well, this tool can be used with any combination of bookmakers and exchanges. Availability varies by match and league, and not every fixture qualifies. Always check the promotion terms before placing.
Does 2UP apply to every match?
No. Bookmakers select which matches qualify for the 2UP promotion. The dashboard shows fixtures from Bet365 where 2UP is available and where the algorithm finds value.
What happens if I cash out?
Do not cash out your back bet if you are running a matched bet. Cashing out cancels the back bet and breaks the matched position, so your lay bet remains open with full liability. Always let the matched bet run.
How do the live 2UP alerts work?
When a backed team goes two goals ahead during a match, the live monitor detects it and sends a Telegram alert. The alert contains the green-up value in pounds, the DT jackpot if you ride, the comeback probability, and a recommendation per risk profile. To receive alerts you need a free account and Telegram connected. Sign up at mathedbetting.co.uk/signup.
What does Green Up, Ride, and Ride (market illiquid) mean?
These are the three recommendations shown in each 2UP alert. Green Up means the model recommends locking in the guaranteed profit by placing a back bet on the exchange. Ride means the comeback probability is high enough to justify holding the position for the double trigger jackpot. Ride (market illiquid) means greening up is not viable because exchange volume is too low at trigger time. The recommendation accounts for the match minute, comeback probability, and available liquidity.
About the algorithm
How does the algorithm work?
The algorithm ranks fixtures by estimating how likely they are to produce the double trigger outcome (backed team goes 2 up, then fails to win). It combines multiple data points from the market and historical validation to prioritise higher-quality opportunities while filtering out weaker ones.
Why is my team not on the dashboard?
Either the fixture is not in a qualifying competition, or the opportunity did not pass the pre-filter. Fixtures that fail the pre-filter are excluded entirely.
Why do underdogs appear more than favourites?
This is intentional and empirically grounded. The double trigger requires the backed team to go 2 up and then concede, which is far more likely when the backed team is an underdog or evenly matched. Heavy favourites rarely give up a 2-goal lead, so they almost never produce double triggers even when they do go 2 up. The algorithm reflects this.
How accurate is the algorithm?
The signal model was validated across 17,564 matches over 5 seasons and 9 leagues, confirming 623 double triggers. Live accuracy is tracked on the results page from day one: every pick is logged at scan time with a timestamp, and outcomes are recorded automatically after each match.
What does the track record show?
The track record shows every Featured and Listed pick the algorithm has made since launch, the tier, outcome, and P&L. Picks appear once the match has kicked off. The logged timestamp confirms when the pick was made. P&L follows the recommendation: if the alert said Green Up and liquidity was sufficient, green-up profit is shown. If the market was illiquid or the recommendation was Ride, the ride outcome is shown. No picks are omitted.
About the beta and pricing
Is this really free?
Yes, fully free during the beta. No credit card required, no trial period. Access the dashboard and results page without any payment.
How long will the beta last?
We have not set a fixed end date for the beta. Subscribers will receive advance notice before any paid tier is introduced, and founding members will be offered a reduced rate.
Will my data be safe?
Your account uses email and password authentication. Your email is used only to verify your account and send transactional messages. Your Telegram chat ID is stored to deliver alerts. We do not sell or share your data. Full details are in the privacy policy.
How do I cancel when it goes paid?
During beta there is no subscription to cancel. When paid tiers launch, founding members will be contacted first and given the option to subscribe at their locked-in rate. You can stop using the tool at any time.
About gubbing
Will using this tool get me gubbed?
Gubbing risk is real for any matched betting activity. 2UP is generally considered lower risk than arbing because you always need an outcome to happen, so you are not exploiting a pure price discrepancy. That said, consistently hitting promotions will draw attention over time. Spreading activity across multiple bookmakers and not exclusively targeting promotional matches helps.
How many bets should I place per week?
There is no universal answer. Most experienced matched bettors place a mix of promotional and regular bets to maintain a normal-looking betting pattern. Placing only promotional bets is a known gubbing accelerant. Use your judgement based on your account history with each bookmaker.