Product updates in chronological order, newest first.
The live monitor now calculates green-up values using real Betfair Exchange back prices at trigger time, after a short market settle delay. Recommendations now account for exchange liquidity: Green Up, Ride, or Ride (market illiquid) per risk profile. P&L on the track record follows the recommendation strictly. Commission calculation bug fixed in green-up formula. Monitor restarts automatically on every deploy.
Free beta accounts now available at mathedbetting.co.uk/signup. Email and password signup with email verification. Telegram alerts activated via bot deep link after signup. First 50 accounts will receive founding member pricing when paid tiers launch. Daily Telegram digest added: upcoming picks sent each morning at weekends and each evening on weekdays.
The public track record now shows one pick per match, preferring the underdog side where both qualify. Summary stats on the landing page and results page are live, pulling directly from picks data in real time. Stats filter to V3 algorithm picks only.
The product pivots from pre-match prediction to live trading assistant. A new PM2 process polls API-Football every 30 seconds during match windows. When a backed team goes two goals ahead, a Telegram alert fires with the green-up value, DT jackpot, comeback probability, and per-profile recommendation. Every 2UP event is now profitable: green up for guaranteed profit or ride for the jackpot.
Full backtest of 18,046 matches proved the V2 pre-match scoring model had no meaningful ranking ability inside the pre-filter population. V3 replaces it with a confidence indicator based on the chance the backed team goes two goals ahead. Three tiers: Featured, Listed, and Tracked. Dashboard, results tracker, and admin pages rebuilt around the new schema. In-play comeback modelling was added and validated strongly in cross-validation.
Opportunity scans now run every hour, 24 hours a day. Coverage expanded to 22 competitions including MLS, Brazilian Serie A, Argentine Primera, Eredivisie, Primeira Liga, Super Lig, A-League, and China Super League. Summer leagues fill the gap between European seasons. Healthcheck monitoring added for scan and outcomes processes.
Added Europa Conference League, Eredivisie, and further competitions. Public results tracker launched with automated outcome recording via API-Football. Every pick logged before kickoff with a timestamp. Outcomes recorded automatically after each match. Running P&L shown at £100 stake.
MATHed Betting launched as a free public beta. Dashboard accessible without login. Scans run daily covering 13 competitions. Automated outcome recording active. Public track record live at /results. Algorithm validated across 17,564 matches over 5 seasons and 9 leagues.
Algorithm implemented with daily scan pipeline. Backtest across 17,500 matches. Confidence signal as primary ranking metric. Betfair Exchange lay odds via odds-api.io replacing Smarkets. Pick logging and outcome tracking infrastructure in place.